OVERNIGHT GAP ROUTE FAILED · NOV 10 PREMARKETno trade
TTD The Trade Desk
TTD’s after-hours indication near $18.66 did not survive overnight: shares were back near $14.85–14.90 before Tuesday’s open, below the published $17.60–18.30 hold route. Because regular-session confirmation never occurred, the setup is recorded as no trade—not a loss and not a win. Require a completely fresh base before reconsidering.
Signal Strong results, failed price confirmationStatus No trade; fresh base required
Review the preserved after-hours plan and reset conditions →
EARNINGS + GUIDANCE INFLECTION · NOV 10 PREMARKET7.9/10 conditional
SANM Sanmina
Quarterly revenue and adjusted EPS beat expectations, fiscal-year free cash flow reached $541 million, and management guided fiscal 2027 revenue and earnings materially higher as AI and cloud-infrastructure demand accelerates. The roughly 20% premarket gap is too extended to chase; only a controlled pullback or a confirmed cash-session breakout qualifies.
Signal Beat + raised guide + AI growth + cash flowStatus Conditional 1–3 month long
Unlock both entry routes, the stop, targets and integration-risk map →
EXCEPTIONAL EARNINGS REVERSAL · NOV 9 AFTER HOURS7.6/10 tactical
TTD The Trade Desk
Revenue and adjusted EPS beat expectations, fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted-EBITDA guidance reset sharply higher, and a new $1 billion buyback adds support. High short interest and call-heavy positioning can amplify the move, but the after-hours gap is already extended: no chase, and no trade unless the cash session confirms.
Signal Beat + raised guide + buyback + squeeze fuelStatus Exceptional 2–5 day confirmation watch
Unlock the opening trigger, stop, targets and gap-failure case →
PREFERRED ENTRY CONFIRMED · NOV 9 CLOSE8.1/10 active
KMI Kinder Morgan
KMI traded through the preferred range and closed near $30.57 after a record quarter, stronger EBITDA, a large natural-gas backlog and a roughly $15 million open-market purchase by Executive Chairman Richard Kinder. A measured 1–3 month starter is active; the close is not an invitation to chase.
Signal Earnings inflection + backlog + insider purchaseStatus 1–3 month starter active
Unlock the entry band, stop, target ladder and downside case →
PREFERRED ENTRY HELD · NOV 9 CLOSE7.7/10 active
LRN Stride
LRN traded inside the preferred area and closed near $75.72. Revenue growth, 22% operating-income growth, a cash-rich balance sheet and clustered director purchases support a patient 1–3 month setup; size remains measured because education-policy and enrollment risks can reprice the stock quickly.
Signal Operating leverage + cash + insider clusterStatus 1–3 month starter active
Unlock the stop, first target and 4–12 week scenario map →
FRESH RECLAIM + FIRST TARGET TOUCH · NOV 9manage, not a chase
AMD Advanced Micro Devices
The Nov. 5 setup correctly remained a no-trade after its confirmation failed. A distinct Nov. 9 reclaim through the fresh activation area then ran to $515.14, entering the first target zone. Record the target touch and maximum favorable excursion; do not invent a realized exit.
Signal Fresh reclaim + volume + relative strengthStatus New trade active; first target touched
Unlock the protected-runner plan and extension case →
BREAKOUT REPAIR CONFIRMED · NOV 9 CLOSE7.3/10 active
BIIB Biogen
BIIB cleared the required repair level, reached $260.92 and closed near $254.87 as fresh Phase 3 lupus analyses improved the catalyst path into the Nov. 16–19 CTAD window. The measured re-entry is active; binary clinical risk and leverage still argue against oversized exposure.
Signal Clinical update + technical repair + near catalystStatus 1–3 month measured re-entry
Unlock the entry, invalidations, targets and trial-risk map →
REPAIR BAND OFFERED · THESIS STILL WEAKER · NOV 95.4/10 manage
AKAM Akamai Technologies
AKAM traded from $75.99 to $84.00 and closed near $80.29, offering the published repair area after the financing gap. The cash-session bounce does not erase the larger convertible offering, higher permitted leverage or analyst-target cuts. Use repair strength to reduce risk; do not average the legacy position.
Signal Repair offered + leverage reset + target cutsStatus Existing starter only; no fresh add
Unlock the reduction band, unchanged stop and revised cases →
FIRST FULL-COVER ZONE TOUCHED · NOV 9target touch, fill unverified
TEAM Atlassian
TEAM traded to $149.18, entering the published $145–150 full-cover zone after the failed-rebound short activated on Nov. 6. Count the achievable cover opportunity, not a realized gain. Fresh downside is less attractive now that the planned target has traded.
Signal Breakdown follow-through + relative weaknessStatus Cover most; token runner only
Unlock the remaining trail and extension case →
CONVERTIBLE-FINANCING RESET · NOV 9 PREMARKET5.8/10 manage
AKAM Akamai Technologies
Akamai proposed $2.2 billion of convertible notes, potentially $2.5 billion with purchaser options, to refinance part of its 2027 notes and fund cloud-infrastructure capital needs. Premarket weakness materially changes the risk/reward: keep the Nov. 6 starter open for now, but do not average the gap. The former add range is now a repair zone, and no loss or new fill is assumed before the cash session.
Signal Large financing + capex need + premarket repricingStatus Existing starter only; repair required before add
Unlock the repair band, unchanged invalidation and revised target cases →
ANALYST-RISK RESET · NOV 76.9/10 manage
AKAM Akamai Technologies
The measured starter remains active after Friday’s recovery, but the post-earnings analyst reset materially narrows the near-term margin of safety. UBS cut its target to $90, RBC to $85 and Susquehanna to $90 as compute supply constraints, co-location costs and softer guidance offset the long-duration cloud backlog.
Signal Broad target cuts + supply/capex pressureStatus Hold starter; no add or chase
Unlock the revised risk map, invalidation and target cases →
PREFERRED ENTRY CONFIRMED · NOV 6 CLOSE7.5/10 active
ABNB Airbnb
ABNB traded to $184.20 inside the preferred pullback area and closed near $189.90 after a roughly 12% earnings move. A measured starter is active; no add or chase above the published range, and no realized gain is assumed.
Signal Raised outlook + buyback + defended pullbackStatus 1–3 month starter active
Unlock the stop, target ladder and scenario map →
ENTRY DEFENDED · NOV 6 CLOSE7.3/10 active
AKAM Akamai Technologies
AKAM tested $78.45, recovered through the preferred $78–82 area and closed near $83.03 on heavy volume. The measured starter is active, but the close is above the add range and does not justify chasing.
Signal Cloud acceleration + contracted demand + volumeStatus 1–3 month starter active
Unlock the invalidation, target and capex-risk map →
FAILED-REBOUND SHORT ACTIVATED · NOV 6 CLOSE7.2/10 manage
TEAM Atlassian
TEAM reached $165.11 inside the published failed-rebound zone and reversed toward $154. The planned $155–157 partial-cover area traded after activation; the earlier $148 print remains excluded because it occurred before the valid entry sequence.
Signal Failed rebound + company-specific relative weaknessStatus Partial cover offered; remainder active
Unlock the remaining stop, full-cover zone and squeeze case →
TACTICAL STOP + HARD INVALIDATION · NOV 6model loss recorded
QCOM Qualcomm
QCOM sustained trade above the $160.50 tactical stop and closed above the $165 hard invalidation. The short is closed as a model loss; its pre-activation opening low is not counted as a win, and no fresh re-short is authorized.
Signal Squeeze + unusual calls + disclosed institutional stakeStatus Stopped; no rewrite
Review the preserved trigger, exit rule and lesson →
CLOSING STOP NARROWLY HELD · NOV 6reduced exposure only
GD General Dynamics
GD fell to $348.82 and recovered to roughly $354.08, finishing only cents above its $354 close-based invalidation. The reduced position survives, but conviction remains low: no averaging and no target restoration before a $372 repair.
Signal Deep undercut + marginal closing survivalStatus Manage reduced exposure only
Unlock the invalidation, repair rule and downside case →
MARKET GATE · NOV 6 PREMARKETconfirmation first
Jobs report + correction tape No opening catch
Nasdaq futures are attempting to stabilize after the index entered correction territory, but the October jobs report arrives before the open. A premarket rebound is not confirmation. Wait for the data, then require orderly regular-session price action before risking fresh capital.
Signal Volatility + policy repricingStatus Wait 30–60 minutes
Unlock the ranked opening map and exact risk levels →
GROWTH REACCELERATION · NOV 67.6/10 conditional
ABNB Airbnb
Revenue grew 19%, booked value 21% and nights and seats 16%; management raised its full-year outlook and authorized another $12 billion of repurchases. The catalyst is strong, but the indicated gap is too large to chase.
Signal Growth acceleration + buyback + raised outlookStatus 1–3 month pullback or held-breakout watch
Unlock both entries, the stop, target ladder and scenario map →
CLOUD COMMITMENTS · NOV 67.0/10 measured
AKAM Akamai Technologies
Cloud-infrastructure revenue grew 34%, security grew 9%, and more than $14 billion of multi-year commitments support a sharp 2027 growth inflection. Near-term guidance, capital intensity and delivery timing still demand a defended base rather than an opening chase.
Signal Cloud acceleration + contracted demandStatus 1–3 month stabilization watch
Unlock the entry, invalidation, target and capex-risk map →
EXCEPTIONAL DOWNSIDE WATCH · NOV 66.8/10 conditional
TEAM Atlassian
Quarterly revenue, cloud growth, remaining obligations and free cash flow were strong, but the full-year outlook implies slower revenue and subscription-ARR growth. Only a failed rebound or confirmed breakdown qualifies; shorting the opening gap is prohibited.
Signal Strong quarter + forward decelerationStatus 2–5 day trigger watch
Unlock the short triggers, squeeze stop and cover zones →
MARKET-REGIME RESET · NOV 5 CLOSEcapital preservation
Morning board Closing reconciliation
BA and FSLR failed their required price confirmations and remain no-trades. BIIB reached the preferred range but weakened into the mid-$240s while remaining above its closing stop. QCOM activated only after a failed rebound; its earlier session low is not counted as a post-entry cover. AMD broke its thesis level without ever confirming an entry.
Signal Broad liquidation + failed confirmationsStatus No new long chase
Unlock the exact protection and re-entry map →
BIIB ENTRY REACHED · NOV 57.0/10 measured
BIIB Biogen
The $250–253 preferred range traded, activating only a measured starter. The stock then weakened toward the mid-$240s but remained above the published closing invalidation. December lupus data remain the catalyst; no averaging during a market waterfall.
Signal Preferred pullback reached + relative resilienceStatus Starter active; no add
Unlock the stop, target ladder and event-risk map →
DOWNSIDE TRIGGER ACTIVATED · NOV 56.8/10 manage
QCOM Qualcomm
QCOM rebounded into the published failed-rebound zone and then broke the secondary trigger, activating the tactical downside plan. The stock subsequently recovered into the upper $150s; the earlier opening low is not counted as a target hit because it preceded the clean activation.
Signal Failed rebound + margin pressureStatus Active, but protect against squeeze
Unlock the tactical stop, hard invalidation and cover zones →
NEW MULTI-SIGNAL SETUP · NOV 5 PREMARKET7.8/10 conditional
BA Boeing
Positive operating cash flow, a record $745 billion backlog, 737 certification progress, a fresh 140-jet Avolon order and two open-market director purchases now align. The edge is a controlled pullback, not an opening chase.
Signal Cash-flow turn + insider buying + backlogStatus Conditional 1–3 month long
Unlock the exact entry, stop, target and 4–12 week cases →
CONDITIONAL RE-ENTRY · NOV 56.9/10
FSLR First Solar
EPS, EBITDA, net cash, a 44 GW backlog and a new $500 million buyback support the medium-term thesis, but the post-earnings gap faded to $194.51. A support hold is required before entry.
Signal Backlog + buyback + upgradeStatus Wait for support confirmation
Unlock both entries, invalidation and scenario map →
THESIS IMPROVED · NO CHASE · NOV 57.3/10
BIIB Biogen
Growth-portfolio revenue rose 49% and full-year adjusted EPS guidance improved ahead of first-half December lupus readouts. The stock is above the preferred pullback zone, so fresh money waits for a retest or confirmed breakout.
Signal Growth inflection + near-term pipeline catalystStatus Active, but above preferred entry
Unlock the pullback, breakout, stop and cases →
DOWNSIDE WATCH · NOV 5 PREMARKET6.9/10 conditional
QCOM Qualcomm
A roughly 10% premarket gap follows handset revenue weakness, input-cost pressure and softer near-term margins despite strong automotive growth. Do not short the opening drop; only a failed rebound or fresh breakdown qualifies.
Signal Margin pressure + handset -26% + estimate riskStatus No opening short
Unlock the two downside triggers, squeeze stop and cover zones →
CONFIRMATION FAILED · NOV 4 CLOSEno trade
AMD Advanced Micro Devices
AMD reached $514.51 intraday but closed at $488.87, below the published $490 repair trigger. The earnings thesis remains constructive, but the confirmation-first setup is preserved as unfilled—neither a win nor a loss.
Signal Strong catalyst, failed closing repairStatus No trade; fresh base required
Unlock the revised base, invalidation and 1–3 month cases →
TACTICAL REDUCTION TRIGGERED · NOV 4 CLOSErisk reduced
GD General Dynamics
GD closed near $364.9, below the published $365 tactical-reduction threshold, while volume ran above its recent average. The original entry and every prior repair remain preserved; this is a deterioration update, not a rewritten call.
Signal Relative weakness + close below reduction levelStatus Reduce; no add until repair
Unlock the remaining invalidation, repair trigger and case map →
BREAKOUT ATTEMPT FAILED · NOV 4 CLOSEno fresh trade
UBER Uber Technologies
UBER traded to $72.50 but closed at $70.54, below the published $70.75 activation level. Strong quarterly execution did not produce a confirmed new entry, so the earnings breakout is recorded as no trade.
Signal Strong results + failed closing confirmationStatus Existing starter manage only
Unlock the reactivation, protection and 1–3 month cases →
FIRST TARGET TOUCHED · NOV 4 CLOSEmanage only
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G traded to $168.16, entering the published $168–172 first-profit zone after the measured $162–164 rebuild. This is a target touch, not an assumed realized gain; the October reduction and original risk rules remain intact.
Signal Defensive strength + target touchStatus Trim only if filled; no chase
Unlock the trim rule, remaining protection and extension case →
PREMARKET THESIS CHECK · NOV 47.2/10 reset
AMD Advanced Micro Devices
AMD’s record quarter remains intact, but the early indication near $483.90 materially reduced Tuesday night’s gap and sits below the prior $505–520 confirmation band. That original plan is preserved as unfilled. No premarket catch: require a regular-session repair or stand down.
Signal Data center +97% but gap weakenedStatus No trade; entry route must reset
Unlock the reset triggers, invalidation and revised 1–3 month cases →
NOV 3 CLOSE RECONCILIATIONopen ideas preserved
BIIB · PG · GD Existing swing updates
BIIB closed at $248.86 inside its preferred range after an intraday breakout faded; PG narrowly held its reactivation threshold at $162.05; GD held the $372 repair at $374.26. Stops remain unchanged, and no new realized outcome is assumed.
Signal BIIB retest + PG/GD support holdsStatus Active; measured sizing only
Review current levels and the preserved ledger →
RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED · NOV 2 CLOSE7.0/10 measured
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G held above the published reactivation band and closed near $163.56 after the October 28 partial reduction. This is a measured rebuild—not a rewrite of the reduction and not permission to chase.
Signal Defensive strength + repaired supportStatus Measured re-entry active
Unlock the re-entry band, full stop, first target and 1–3 month cases →
SECOND COVER ZONE TOUCHED · NOV 2management complete
INTC Intel
The confirmed breakdown traded to $59.41, entering the published $58–60 extension after Friday’s first-cover-zone touch. Existing shorts should be closed or reduced to only a token runner; no new short or put is justified after the extended decline.
Signal Weak guide + breakdown follow-throughStatus Cover; no fresh entry
Review the preserved trigger, cover plan and squeeze risk →
FIRST TARGET TOUCHED · NOV 2manage only
AMZN Amazon
Amazon reached $253.80 inside the published $245–255 first-profit zone before finishing near $245.63. The valid entry remains the October 30 regular-session reclaim; no lower premarket fill or realized exit is assumed.
Signal Reclaim follow-through + target touchStatus Trim / protect; no chase
Unlock the trim rule, raised protection and extension case →
REPAIR CLOSE · NOV 2existing starter active
GD General Dynamics
GD undercut support to $358.93 but recovered to a close near $373.46, above the published $372 repair threshold. The close-based reduction rule was not triggered; today’s volatility argues for controlled sizing rather than an automatic add.
Signal Deep undercut + closing reclaimStatus Starter survives; no late chase
Unlock the reduction rule, invalidation and target ladder →
STOPPED TRADE DETERIORATES · NOV 2no additional loss counted
KLAC KLA
KLAC traded to $152.00, briefly breaching the broader thesis level after the breakout tranche had already stopped on October 30. The original roughly 4%–5% model loss remains unchanged; this reinforces the fresh-base requirement and does not create another trade.
Signal Post-stop continuationStatus Closed; fresh base required
Review the preserved original call, stop and outcome →
PREFERRED ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 30 CLOSE8.1/10 active
GD General Dynamics
Regular-session low $370.67 entered the published $365–372 support band and the $372.38 close defended its upper edge. The earnings-and-backlog thesis is now active, but fresh money should wait for a controlled retest rather than chase.
Signal Preferred pullback defendedStatus Measured starter active
Unlock invalidation, target ladder and 1–3 month cases →
RE-ENTRY REPAIRED · OCT 30 CLOSE7.2/10 measured
BIIB Biogen
The $251.19 low revisited the prior $248–252 area and the $253.62 close repaired the failed re-entry structure. This is a measured re-entry, not a chase; December pipeline risk and legacy-MS erosion remain material.
Signal Two-session repair + preferred-zone retestStatus Measured re-entry active
Unlock stop, no-chase level and scenario map →
ALTERNATE RECLAIM CONFIRMED · OCT 30 CLOSE7.4/10 active
AMZN Amazon
The regular session never traded the published $220–228 preferred zone. The valid route was the alternate sustained reclaim above $235, followed by a $240.35 close. The ledger now explicitly corrects the earlier premarket-versus-regular-session ambiguity.
Signal AWS acceleration + held reclaimStatus Alternate route active; lower route unfilled
Unlock exact protection, target and 1–3 month cases →
PUBLISHED STOP TRIGGERED · OCT 30 CLOSEloss recorded
KLAC KLA
The $157.91 close broke the published $161 tactical close stop on the $164.50–166 breakout tranche. Record a roughly 4%–5% model loss; the exact realized result remains unverified and the original $152.50 thesis level was not reached.
Signal Failed breakout + close-based stopStatus Stopped; no rewrite
Review the preserved original call and exact ledger →
FIRST COVER ZONE TOUCHED · OCT 30 CLOSEmanage only
INTC Intel
The confirmed breakdown reached $63.20 inside the published $60–64 first-cover zone. This is a target touch, not a new short: cover 50%–75% if filled and do not chase an already extended decline.
Signal Breakdown + target touchStatus Manage; no new entry
Unlock remaining-risk plan and cases →
FIRST TARGET TOUCHED · OCT 30 CLOSEmanage only
ABT Abbott
The $106.85 high entered the published $106–110 first target after the October 23 re-entry. No realized gain is counted without a verified exit; existing holders manage strength while fresh buyers avoid chasing.
Signal Published target reachedStatus Manage; realized fill unverified
Review the preserved entry and management map →
NEW EARNINGS SETUP · OCT 30 PREMARKET7.9/10 conditional
GD General Dynamics
General Dynamics delivered $14.57 billion of quarterly revenue, $4.49 of diluted EPS and a $220.3 billion backlog. The catalyst path is durable, but a volatile premarket support test means the long qualifies only after regular-session price confirmation.
Signal Broad growth + cash generation + backlogStatus No trade yet; wait for support reclaim
Unlock both entries, stop, targets and 1–3 month cases →
GAP-RESET WATCH · OCT 30 PREMARKET7.5/10 conditional
AMZN Amazon
AWS sales grew 39%, operating income rose 61% and companywide operating margin reached a record 13.9%. The offset is a $42.4 billion trailing free-cash-flow outflow driven by AI investment, so the roughly 7% gap down is not an automatic bargain.
Signal AWS acceleration + record marginStatus Conditional; require defended support or reclaim
Unlock the reset zone, invalidation and upside/downside map →
DOWNSIDE WATCH · OCT 30 PREMARKET7.4/10 conditional
INTC Intel
Intel’s quarter improved, but fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $15–16 billion and non-GAAP EPS guidance of $0.25 disappointed while management expects PC weakness through at least the first half of 2027. A roughly 25% gap is too extended to short at the open.
Signal Weak forward guide + PC slowdown + volume shockStatus No opening short; failed rebound or fresh breakdown only
Unlock both downside triggers, squeeze stop and target map →
BREAKOUT CONFIRMED · OCT 29 CLOSE7.7/10 active
KLAC KLA Corporation
The alternate 30-minute breakout route confirmed above $164.50. Shares reached $171.30 and closed near $167.43, but the published $172–178 first target was not reached. This remains open; no late chase is justified.
Signal Guide raise + high-volume breakoutStatus Active; first target not reached
Unlock the active stop, target ladder and 1–3 month cases →
DOWNSIDE TRIGGER CONFIRMED · TARGET TOUCHED · OCT 29management only
GOOGL Alphabet
The published 30-minute breakdown below $289 confirmed and the session low of $280.36 entered the $276–282 target zone. A target touch is documented, but no realized gain is assumed without a verified fill after confirmation.
Signal Confirmed support break + volume expansionStatus Target touched; fill unverified
Unlock the cover plan, squeeze stop and extension case →
NO TRADE · OCT 29 CLOSEMSFT avoided
MSFT Microsoft
The preferred $542–550 defense failed and the alternate 30-minute hold above $558 never confirmed. Shares fell to $519.59 and finished near $530.14. The earnings thesis stays archived, but today’s conditional setup is recorded as no trade—not a loss or a win.
Signal Gap failure + no confirmationStatus No trade; fresh base required
Unlock the preserved re-entry framework →
PROFIT-ZONE UPDATE · OCT 29 CLOSEmanage existing positions
RCL · UPS · RTX · LMT Target ledger
RCL, UPS and RTX entered their published first profit zones; LMT entered its published final target. These are target touches, not assumed realized gains. Original entries, stops and prior misses remain unchanged in the archive.
Signal Follow-through across four active ideasStatus Trim / protect; fills unverified
Unlock ticker-by-ticker trim and runner rules →
EARNINGS BEAT + GUIDE RAISE · OCT 29 PREMARKET7.8/10 conditional
TMUS T-Mobile US
Service revenue, EPS, EBITDA and free cash flow all grew, while management raised the midpoints of profitability and cash-flow guidance. The moderate premarket gain and roughly market-level valuation create a cleaner 1–3 month setup than most extended earnings gaps.
Signal Profitable growth + raised cash-flow outlookStatus Conditional; require opening support
Unlock both entries, invalidation and scenario map →
EARNINGS + FORWARD GUIDE · OCT 29 PREMARKET7.6/10 conditional
KLAC KLA Corporation
KLA posted $4.14 billion of revenue, $1.34 billion of quarterly free cash flow and a materially higher December-quarter revenue outlook. AI-linked process control and advanced packaging support the catalyst path, but the valuation requires a controlled entry.
Signal Revenue beat + stronger forward guideStatus Measured size; no gap chase
Unlock the entry, stop, targets and semiconductor risks →
CONDITIONAL DOWNSIDE · OCT 29 PREMARKET7.2/10 watch
GOOGL Alphabet
Alphabet is down roughly 10% after weaker search advertising and sharply higher AI spending intensified cash-flow concerns. Cloud growth remains strong, so shorting the opening collapse is not acceptable; only a failed rebound or confirmed breakdown qualifies.
Signal Earnings miss + AI-spending scrutiny + weak tapeStatus No opening short; confirmation required
Unlock both downside triggers, squeeze risk and targets →
EARNINGS BEAT · CONDITIONAL · OCT 28 AFTER HOURS8.3/10 watch
MSFT Microsoft
Microsoft reported $92.3 billion of revenue, $4.89 of EPS, 48% Azure growth and 73% commercial-backlog growth. The after-hours reaction is constructive, but the trade still requires a defended pullback or held breakout; no opening-gap chase and no trade is counted yet.
Signal Azure acceleration + earnings beat + backlog growthStatus Conditional; confirmation required
Unlock both entries, the stop, targets and scenario map →
REDUCTION TRIGGERED · OCT 28 CLOSE5.4/10 reduce
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G closed near $158.26, below the previously published $158.50 reduction trigger. The thesis is not rewritten and the original stop remains on the ledger; risk is being reduced, not averaged.
Signal Relative weakness + closing trigger failureStatus Partial reduction; no add
Unlock the reduction size, full stop and reactivation rule →
RE-ENTRY VALIDATED · OCT 28 CLOSE7.2/10 manage
RCL Royal Caribbean Group
Royal Caribbean closed near $298.30, preserving the separate $294–297 late re-entry after the original morning setup remained a no trade. This is validation of the newer entry—not a rewrite of the earlier miss.
Signal Beat-and-raise follow-throughStatus Active; first target not reached
Unlock the protection, target and scenario map →
TARGET TOUCHED AGAIN · OCT 287.1/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX reached $198.73 inside the published first target and closed near $195.84. The target touch is recorded, but realized return is still not assumed without a verified fill.
Signal Profit-zone retest + close above tranche protectionStatus No add; protect the repair
Unlock the tranche stop and remaining target ladder →
NO TRADE · OCT 28 CLOSEGEV avoided
GEV GE Vernova
The opening confirmation failed and shares closed near $878.03 below the preferred reset structure. The setup is recorded as no trade—not a loss or a win—and now requires a fresh base.
Signal Opening confirmation failedStatus No trade; reclaim required
Unlock the preserved reactivation level →
RE-ENTRY FAILED · OCT 28 CLOSE6.2/10 runner only
BIIB Biogen
Biogen's earnings thesis improved, but the fresh re-entry confirmation did not hold and shares closed near $244.05. The previously managed runner survives above its protection level; no new entry is counted.
Signal Good report, failed price confirmationStatus Existing runner only; no fresh buy
Unlock the runner exit and future re-entry test →
EARNINGS BEAT · THESIS STRENGTHENED · OCT 287.8/10 manage
BIIB Biogen
Biogen cleared the scheduled earnings risk with 11% revenue growth, 49% growth-portfolio expansion and a higher floor for full-year adjusted EPS guidance. The original entry and first-target touch remain on the ledger; this is a management update, not a fresh chase.
Signal Broad growth + guidance improvementStatus Hold / controlled re-entry watch
Unlock the exact re-entry, protection and next target map →
RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 27 CLOSE7.1/10 active
RCL Royal Caribbean Group
The opening setup failed and is still recorded as no trade. A separate late-day retest held into the close, creating a measured 1–3 month re-entry without rewriting the morning miss.
Signal Beat-and-raise thesis + controlled retestStatus Active; no chase before the Fed
Unlock the confirmed entry, two invalidations and targets →
RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 27 CLOSE7.6/10 active
UPS United Parcel Service
UPS failed its opening support test, recovered through the required reclaim area and finished near the session high after beating expectations and raising its outlook. The original opening failure and later re-entry are tracked separately.
Signal Earnings beat + raised guide + price recoveryStatus Active; first target not reached
Unlock the entry record, two stops and scenario map →
FIRST TARGET TOUCHED · OCT 277.0/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX entered its first published profit zone, then reversed to close near the added tranche's protection level. The touch is documented, but no realized return is counted without a verified fill.
Signal Target touch followed by weak closeStatus No add; protect the confirmed repair
Unlock the tranche stop, whole-position stop and remaining targets →
PREFERRED RESET FILLED · OCT 277.3/10 active
ABT Abbott Laboratories
Abbott traded into the published fresh-entry area and recovered to close above it. The reset is now recorded as a separate measured add; no target or realized gain is counted.
Signal Support test + recoveryStatus Active; no fresh chase
Unlock the exact reset, stop and target map →
BEAT + RAISE · OCT 27 PREMARKET8.1/10 conditional
RCL Royal Caribbean Group
Royal Caribbean beat Q3 profit expectations, raised full-year earnings guidance and said 2027 bookings are pacing ahead of historical levels. The roughly 4% premarket gain confirms interest, but the better 1–3 month trade still requires support or a held breakout.
Signal EPS beat + guidance raise + resilient bookingsStatus Conditional; no opening-gap chase
Unlock both entries, the stop, targets and scenario map →
REPAIR + ADD CONFIRMED · OCT 26 CLOSE7.8/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX closed near $197.48, up about 3.4%, after sustaining the published repair and measured-add area. Volume exceeded its recent average, strengthening the 1–3 month thesis, but the $198–205 first target was not reached.
Signal Repair hold + relative strength + volumeStatus Confirmed; manage without chasing
Unlock the tranche protection, target ladder and scenarios →
SECOND TARGET REACHED · OCT 26 CLOSE8.7/10 manage
LMT Lockheed Martin
Lockheed reached $636.51 and closed near $635.20 inside the published $625–640 second target. The move is documented as a target touch, not a realized return without a verified member fill.
Signal Beat-and-raise follow-throughStatus Partial profit; protect final runner
Unlock the additional trim and final-runner plan →
THESIS WEAKENED · OCT 26 CLOSE5.9/10 small only
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G underperformed a rising market and closed near $159.92 after losing the original $159–161 support area intraday. It recovered above the published $158.50 reduction trigger, so no automatic trim is recorded.
Signal Relative weakness despite lower oilStatus No add; reduction trigger avoided
Unlock the exact reduction, stop and reactivation rules →
NO TRADE · OCT 26 CLOSEVZ avoided
VZ Verizon
Verizon’s strong report briefly lifted shares to $46.20, but price never stabilized in the planned entry area and closed near $43.10. The setup is recorded as an avoided trade—not a loss or a win.
Signal Good fundamentals, failed price responseStatus No trade; fresh base required
Unlock the preserved reactivation framework →
MONDAY PREMARKET CHECK · OCT 26Risk improved; no new trade
Market risk Oil retreats; futures stabilize
Brent and WTI fell roughly 2% while U.S. futures held near flat. That eases the weekend’s immediate gap risk, but renewed attack claims keep the backdrop binary and confirmation-first.
Signal Oil pullback + steady futuresStatus Wait 30–60 minutes; follow existing levels
Unlock the exact ABT, PG, RTX and LMT opening map →
WEEKEND RISK CHANGE · OCT 25Monday discipline
Market risk Saudi escalation and oil sensitivity
Saudi markets fell sharply after additional Houthi missile and drone attacks were intercepted and oil infrastructure remained under threat. This increases Monday gap risk without creating a clean new trade.
Signal Regional escalation + live Saudi sell-offStatus Wait for stabilization; no opening chase
Unlock the exact Monday position-management map →
RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 23 CLOSE7.1/10 active
ABT Abbott Laboratories
Abbott defended the published $101–102 re-entry area and closed near $103.71, close to the session high. The measured starter is now confirmed; fresh buyers should wait for another controlled reset rather than chase.
Signal Support defense + strong closeStatus Active; no fresh chase
Unlock the stop, target and scenario map →
RE-ENTRY WEAKENED · OCT 23 CLOSE7.0/10 manage
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G traded to $164.50 but reversed to close near $161.12. The existing position remains above its published invalidation, while fresh buying now requires renewed support confirmation.
Signal Earnings thesis intact, follow-through fadedStatus Hold small; no add without recovery
Unlock the recovery test, stop and target map →
CLOSING STOP SURVIVED · OCT 236.1/10 reduced
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX traded below $190 intraday but closed near $191.02, narrowly avoiding the daily-close exit rule. The reduced starter survives, but Friday’s failed repair removes any reason to add.
Signal Closing stop held by a narrow marginStatus Reduced only; repair required
Unlock the exact stop, add test and targets →
NO TRADE · OCT 23 CLOSEAXP avoided
AXP American Express
AXP never confirmed above $330, lost the planned support area and closed near $313 below the original $315 invalidation. The raised-guidance thesis remains archived, but today’s setup is recorded as no trade.
Signal Good report, failed price confirmationStatus Avoided trade; fresh base required
Unlock the preserved reactivation rules →
NO TRADE · OCT 23 CLOSERNG scratch
RNG RingCentral
RNG reached $96.01 after the earnings gap, then collapsed into the low-$80s without holding either published confirmation route. The conditional trade is recorded as a scratch—not a loss or a win.
Signal Gap fade + failed confirmationStatus No trade; new base required
Unlock the preserved reset framework →
RAISED-GUIDANCE SETUP · OCT 238.2/10 conditional
AXP American Express
American Express raised its 2026 EPS outlook after 9% revenue growth, 8% billed-business growth and lower credit provisions. That combination supports a 1–3 month thesis, but fresh money still needs an orderly support hold or a confirmed breakout.
Signal Guidance raise + resilient spend + improving creditStatus Conditional; do not chase the opening gap
Unlock both entry tests, the stop and scenario map →
EXCEPTIONAL EARNINGS CATALYST · OCT 237.7/10 conditional
RNG RingCentral
RingCentral raised its full-year revenue, EPS and free-cash-flow outlook as AI-product ARR doubled year over year and debt fell toward $1 billion. The roughly 16% premarket gap makes this a selective 2–5 day setup—not an opening chase.
Signal Beat + raise + AI ARR + deleveragingStatus Require defended support or a sustained breakout
Unlock the two entries, hard risk and target ladder →
FIRST TARGET REACHED · OCT 22 CLOSE8.6/10 manage
LMT Lockheed Martin
Lockheed confirmed the published breakout above $580 and traded to $608.10 inside the first profit zone. This is now a documented target touch; late buyers should not chase the gap.
Signal Beat + raise, breakout confirmedStatus Partial profit; protect the remainder
Unlock the trim plan and raised protection →
FIRST TARGET REACHED · OCT 22 CLOSE7.5/10 manage
SPOT Spotify
Spotify cleared the published breakout trigger and reached $588.78 inside the first target zone. The original confirmation rule is preserved below; this is a target touch, not permission to chase.
Signal Subscriber beat + confirmed breakoutStatus Trim strength; manage the runner
Unlock the remaining-position plan →
FIRST TARGET REACHED · OCT 22 CLOSE8.0/10 manage
BIIB Biogen
BIIB traded to $254.36, reaching the published $248–255 first target ahead of earnings. The target touch is documented separately from any unverified member fill.
Signal Breakout follow-through + target touchStatus Partial profit; event risk ahead
Unlock the trim size, runner stop and next target →
STOPPED LOSS · OCT 22TSM closed
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSM opened below the added tranche’s risk level and closed near $412.35, below the original starter’s $414 tactical invalidation. Both tranches are now recorded closed; the earlier entry and add history remains intact.
Signal Sector breakdown + support failureStatus Closed loss; no averaging
Unlock the verified re-entry requirements →
STOPPED LOSS · OCT 22SMCI closed
SMCI Super Micro Computer
SMCI failed to hold the published $34.40 hard risk level and finished near $33.72. The small starter is recorded as a stopped loss; the original catalyst call remains preserved below.
Signal Hard invalidation confirmedStatus Closed loss; fresh base required
Unlock the two reclaim levels →
ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 22 CLOSE8.0/10 active
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G tested $158.03, reclaimed the published support band and finished near $165.59. The conditional earnings setup is now active, but the move is too extended for a late chase.
Signal Support defense + defensive relative strengthStatus Working; buy only on a controlled reset
Unlock the stop, target and scenario map →
REPAIR CONFIRMED · OCT 22 CLOSE6.1/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX closed near $194.71 after trading to $196.07, repairing the published $194–196 band. The reduced starter survives, but no additional size is justified without a second hold.
Signal Repair band reclaimedStatus Hold reduced starter; no add yet
Unlock the confirmation, stop and target plan →
RE-ENTRY RANGE RESTORED · OCT 226.5/10 watch
ABT Abbott Laboratories
Abbott recovered from $99.89 and closed near $102.51. That restores the constructive structure, but the better risk/reward is on a controlled pullback rather than above $103.
Signal Post-earnings support reclaimedStatus Watch for pullback; no chase
Unlock the preferred re-entry band and invalidation →
BEAT + RAISE · OCT 22 PREMARKET8.6/10 conditional
LMT Lockheed Martin
Lockheed beat expectations, raised its annual sales, EPS and free-cash-flow outlook, and reported a record $292 billion backlog. The stock is showing relative strength in a weak tape, but the opening gap still needs confirmation.
Signal Guidance raise + record backlogStatus Wait for a defended pullback
Unlock the entry tests, two invalidations and targets →
DEFENSIVE EARNINGS INFLECTION · OCT 228.0/10 conditional
PG Procter & Gamble
P&G beat on profit and revenue, grew every major category and raised its full-year sales-growth outlook. Its defensive profile is useful while technology markets weaken, but fresh money should wait for support after the gap.
Signal Broad growth + raised sales outlookStatus Conditional opening hold
Unlock the entry zone, stop and scenario map →
SUBSCRIBER + MARGIN INFLECTION · OCT 227.5/10 conditional
SPOT Spotify
Premium subscribers exceeded expectations and fourth-quarter operating-income guidance topped consensus. Relative strength is constructive, but the mixed user outlook and earnings gap keep this confirmation-first.
Signal Subscriber beat + profit guideStatus Retest or sustained breakout required
Unlock the two entry tests and risk map →
INVALIDATION RISK · OCT 22 PREMARKET4.5/10 protect
SMCI Super Micro Computer
SMCI is indicated below the small starter’s hard risk level before the open. The original catalyst remains visible, but no averaging is allowed; regular-session price must promptly reclaim the level or the starter exits.
Signal Gap support failed premarketStatus Protect capital; no add
Unlock the exact exit and reclaim rules →
ADD CONFIRMED · OCT 21 CLOSE8.1/10 manage
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSM retested the prior breakout area and closed near $430.81. That converts Tuesday’s borderline signal into a measured add confirmation; the earlier starter, failed add and support-loss records remain unchanged.
Signal Retest defense + closing strengthStatus Measured add active; no chase
Unlock the tranche stop, targets and 1–3 month scenarios →
ABT THESIS WEAKENED · OCT 21 CLOSE5.8/10 manage
ABT Abbott Laboratories
Abbott closed near $100.51 after a volatile earnings session. The original starter stays open, but slower organic-growth guidance and device weakness remove the automatic add; fresh money now requires support confirmation.
Signal EPS delivery, softer growth outlookStatus Hold only; no automatic add
Unlock the revised re-entry test and scenario map →
SMCI STARTER TRIGGERED · OCT 21 CLOSE6.9/10 cautious
SMCI Super Micro Computer
SMCI traded through the planned support-entry area but closed near $35.46 after failing to sustain the higher confirmation. A small starter is active; no target was reached and no add is justified.
Signal Catalyst valid, confirmation weakStatus Starter only; hard risk intact
Unlock exact invalidation, targets and risk sizing →
NO TRADE · OCT 21 CLOSENFLX trigger missed
NFLX Netflix
Netflix traded to roughly $63.65 but never broke the published $63.50 downside trigger. The conditional short is recorded as no trade, not a win or a loss.
Signal Bearish thesis, incomplete triggerStatus Watch only; fresh breakdown required
Unlock the preserved trigger and invalidation →
EXCEPTIONAL CATALYST · OCT 21 PREMARKET8.3/10 conditional
SMCI Super Micro Computer
Preliminary quarterly revenue moved far above prior guidance as AI-platform demand accelerated. The gap is meaningful, but this remains a confirmation-first event trade rather than an opening chase.
Signal Revenue reset + AI demandStatus Wait for a defended opening structure
Unlock the exact entry tests, invalidation and target map →
EARNINGS THESIS CHECK · OCT 217.3/10 manage
ABT Abbott Laboratories
Abbott delivered 7.0% comparable growth, $1.42 adjusted EPS and a tightened full-year outlook. The original starter remains profitable, but the modest premarket response favors holding rather than chasing.
Signal Steady growth + reaffirmed outlookStatus Hold starter; let the report settle
Unlock the preserved entry, invalidation and target plan →
CONDITIONAL DOWNSIDE · OCT 217.5/10 watch
NFLX Netflix
Soft fourth-quarter guidance and a reduced advertising outlook drove a roughly 6% premarket decline. A downside trade still requires regular-session confirmation; the gap alone is not an entry.
Signal Guidance pressure + slowing growthStatus No short counted without a support break
Unlock the trigger, invalidation and downside targets →
FIRST TARGET REACHED · OCT 20 CLOSE8.4/10 manage
UNH UnitedHealth Group
UNH traded to $422.40 and reached its first published profit zone after the repaired entry held. The advance is now a documented target touch: manage the remainder rather than chase.
Signal Post-earnings recovery + healthcare leadershipStatus Partial profit; protect the runner
Unlock the trim size, raised stop and next target map →
BREAKOUT ACCELERATION · OCT 20 CLOSE8.0/10 manage
BIIB Biogen
BIIB closed near $243.14 after decisively clearing the prior add trigger. The starter is working, but the move is now close enough to the first target that new buyers should wait for a controlled reset.
Signal Breakout follow-through + healthcare strengthStatus Hold; no late chase
Unlock the retest rule, tranche stop and target plan →
BORDERLINE BREAKOUT CLOSE · OCT 207.5/10 manage
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSM closed near $425.20 after reaching $428.20. The starter remains valid, but the close was not decisive enough to justify automatically increasing size after Monday’s failed add attempt.
Signal Reclaimed resistance, limited closing marginStatus Starter only; require a durable hold
Unlock the add test, invalidations and targets →
EARNINGS REVERSAL STABILIZED · OCT 20 CLOSE7.2/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX reversed from $188.64 and closed near $193.43, avoiding the tactical closing stop. The earnings thesis improved, but the failed opening gap still requires a fresh reclaim before adding.
Signal Strong report + intraday recoveryStatus Reduced starter held; no add yet
Unlock the reclaim level, two stops and target plan →
EARNINGS BEAT + RAISE · OCT 208.8/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX posted a broad third-quarter beat, lifted 2026 profit and sales guidance and grew backlog to a record $340 billion. Shares were up about 3% before the bell. That strengthens the 1–3 month thesis, but the gap is now a position-management event rather than a chase.
Signal Beat + raise + record backlogStatus Manage strength; fresh entry needs confirmation
Unlock the trim plan, entry tests and post-gap invalidations →
RETEST FOLLOW-THROUGH · OCT 198.0/10 active
UNH UnitedHealth Group
UNH finished near $406.88 after defending the repaired entry structure and closing near the session high. The earnings-inflection thesis remains active; existing positions can hold, while fresh buyers should wait for a controlled pullback rather than chase.
Signal Retest defense + closing strengthStatus Active; pullback preferred
Unlock the add zone, invalidation and scenario plan →
BREAKOUT RETEST HELD · OCT 197.6/10 active
BIIB Biogen
BIIB finished near $233.48 and held the prior breakout area. That validates a measured starter, while a larger add still requires stronger follow-through ahead of earnings and clinical-readout risk.
Signal Upgrade + breakout retest defenseStatus Small starter confirmed; no aggressive add
Unlock the add trigger, stop and catalyst map →
STARTER REPAIRED; ADD FAILED · OCT 197.4/10 manage
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSM ended near $420.22 after briefly clearing the higher add area and fading. The earlier starter is repaired and remains active, but the failed intraday breakout means no additional size until price proves it can hold the next confirmation.
Signal Sector rebound + failed add breakoutStatus Half-size starter only
Unlock the add trigger, two invalidations and targets →
EARNINGS RISK RESET · OCT 197.2/10 manage
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX finished near $192.11 with the breakout intact, but Tuesday’s premarket earnings create binary gap risk. Keep only measured exposure and do not add before the report.
Signal Breakout intact + imminent catalystStatus Small starter only; no pre-report add
Unlock the event-risk stop and target framework →
ENTRY TRIGGER FAILED · OCT 196.5/10 watch
UBER Uber Technologies
UBER ended near $69.96 and again failed to confirm a fresh entry. The longer thesis stays on watch, but no new position is counted and averaging down remains off the table.
Signal Repeated resistance rejectionStatus No entry; closing repair required
Unlock the repair level, invalidation and targets →
BREAKOUT CONFIRMED · OCT 167.8/10 active
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX closed near its session high after decisively clearing the previously published breakout trigger. The October 20 earnings catalyst keeps sizing measured, but the confirmation is now genuine.
Signal Breakout + relative strengthStatus Active; controlled retest preferred
Unlock the entry, two invalidations and target plan →
ENTRY-BAND HOLD FAILED · OCT 166.7/10 watch
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSM closed below the support required for the measured starter after confirming it one day earlier. The strong earnings thesis remains visible, but additions are paused until price repairs the failed hold.
Signal Strong report, weak sector responseStatus No add; reclaim required
Unlock the repair trigger, invalidation and scenarios →
RECLAIM FAILED · OCT 167.2/10 watch
UBER Uber Technologies
UBER closed back below the support level that confirmed Thursday’s re-entry. The tactical stop has not triggered, but fresh buying and averaging down are paused until another closing repair.
Signal One-day confirmation failureStatus No new buy; support repair required
Unlock the re-entry, tactical stop and target framework →
ENTRY HOLD CONFIRMED · OCT 157.4/10 active
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor
TSMC’s record quarter and stronger outlook now have price confirmation: the ADR recovered from roughly $407 and closed near $418 inside the published entry band. The premarket setup remains preserved as conditional; only the measured starter is now counted.
Signal Beat-and-raise + defended entry bandStatus Starter active; higher add trigger unmet
Unlock the entry, invalidation, targets and scenario plan →
THESIS IMPROVED · OCT 136.2/10 watch
GME GameStop
Ryan Cohen disclosed another large open-market purchase near $27, extending a multi-purchase insider-accumulation pattern. That materially improves alignment, but it does not reopen the fully exited September trade or justify chasing a headline-driven gap.
Signal Meaningful repeat insider buyingStatus Fresh watch only; prior closed trade preserved
Unlock the confirmation framework and risk plan →
RE-ENTRY FOLLOW-THROUGH · OCT 157.8/10 active
UNH UnitedHealth Group
UNH followed Wednesday’s $388–392 repair with an October 15 close near $406.67 after reaching roughly $414. The distinct re-entry is strengthening, while the October 13 failed-gap no-trade remains preserved.
Signal Raised guidance + two-day defensive strengthStatus Hold re-entry; protect the repaired support
Unlock the new entry, invalidation and target plan →FAILED GAP · NO TRADE · OCT 136.1/10 reset
UNH UnitedHealth Group
UnitedHealth beat expectations and raised guidance, but the shares reversed from $399.88 to close near $377.76. The published $386–392 entry did not hold and the $401.50 confirmation never triggered, so the earnings setup is canceled rather than counted as a trade.
Signal Strong results, weak price responseStatus Failed gap; no entry counted
Unlock the entry, invalidation and turnaround-risk plan →
STABILIZED · OCT 146.9/10 watch
RTX RTX Corporation
RTX rebounded from $182.00 to close near $186.47, regaining the $183–185 stabilization band after the downgrade. Confirmation improved, but the stronger $188.50 trigger remains unmet ahead of earnings.
Signal Backlog strength + support reclaimStatus Stabilized; full breakout confirmation still required
Unlock the entry, invalidation and target framework →
BREAKOUT ADD CONFIRMED · OCT 147.5/10 active
BIIB Biogen
BIIB closed near $232.83, clearing the published $231.50 confirmation after the prior pullback reached the preferred zone. The upgrade and clinical-catalyst path now have price confirmation; use measured size around event risk.
Signal Upgrade + pullback + breakout closeStatus Confirmation met; measured add eligible
Unlock the entry, invalidation and catalyst risk plan →
FINAL TARGET ZONE TOUCHED · OCT 128/10 manage
PENG Penguin Solutions
PENG reached $80.08 on October 12, touching the published $80–84 final target zone and lifting maximum favorable excursion from the $67.85 tracked entry to roughly 18%. The beat-and-raise thesis remains intact, but this is a take-profit winner—not a fresh chase.
Outcome Final target touched · ~18% MFEStatus Sell at least half the runner; trail the rest
Unlock entry, invalidation and post-earnings targets →
FAILED EARNINGS BREAKOUT · OCT 86.2/10 downside
APLD Applied Digital
APLD rejected its post-earnings advance on roughly 55 million shares, briefly broke the downside trigger and then recovered to close nearly flat. The failed positive reaction keeps a bearish setup alive, but the late rebound removed the clean chase entry.
Signal High-volume earnings rejectionStatus Conditional downside; no mid-range chase
Unlock the downside entry, invalidation and targets →
RETEST DEFENDED · OCT 148.1/10 active
LW Lamb Weston
LW traded to $51.31 inside the published $50.75–51.50 retest band, then recovered to close near $53.02. The beat-and-raise thesis now has both breakout and retest confirmation; fresh entries should wait for another orderly pullback rather than chase.
Signal Beat + raised guidance + defended retestStatus Active; no chase after the rebound
Unlock the entry, stop and target framework →
RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED · OCT 158.0/10 active
UBER Uber Technologies
UBER reversed from roughly $68.72 and closed near $71.27, reclaiming the published $70.75 confirmation level one day after the support failure. This is a fresh re-entry event; the October 14 failure and original invalidation remain preserved.
Signal Support failure repaired on strong reversalStatus Close-based re-entry confirmed; no opening-gap chase
Unlock exact entry, invalidation and targets →
TACTICAL STOP TRIGGERED · OCT 95/10 reset
MU Micron Technology
MU closed at $1,028.71 on October 9, below the published $1,035 tactical invalidation. The original starter is recorded as a stopped loss; the longer-term earnings thesis may survive, but a new trade requires a fresh repair rather than rewriting the failed call.
Outcome Original starter stoppedStatus Watch only for a fresh re-entry
Unlock the repaired entry, invalidation and target framework →
CLOSING STOP TRIGGERED · OCT 12Closed loss
FPS Forgent Power Solutions
FPS closed near $37.55 on October 12, decisively below the published $38.50 close-based stop. The separate 185-share re-entry at $40.28 is recorded as a stopped loss of roughly 6.8%, or about $505 before slippage; the earlier partial-profit trade remains a separate closed record.
Outcome 185-share re-entry stoppedStatus Closed; new base required
Review the preserved basis, stop and future re-entry rule →
PREFERRED PULLBACK REACHED · OCT 67.7/10 active
ABT Abbott Laboratories
ABT returned to the preferred pullback area on October 6 after confirming the starter one session earlier. The upgrade-and-guidance thesis remains intact, with third-quarter results due before the market opens on October 21. The improved entry is more attractive than chasing Monday’s strength, but earnings risk still requires measured sizing.
Signal Upgrade + raised guidanceStatus Preferred pullback reached
Unlock the entry, invalidation and earnings risk plan →
RECLAIM FAILED AGAIN · OCT 66/10 hold only
CELH Celsius Holdings
CELH briefly traded above the required reclaim area on October 6 but faded back toward $27.29. The original starter remains open above invalidation, but a second unsuccessful closing repair means no fresh re-entry is counted and conviction is reduced.
Signal Insider alignment + repair attemptStatus Existing starter only; re-entry unconfirmed
Open the preserved entry and risk plan →
EARNINGS GAP · NO TRADE · OCT 1Avoided chase
ACN Accenture
Better revenue, bookings and guidance produced a record-sized earnings reaction, but ACN opened near $220—well above the published $208 no-chase level. The planned entry never appeared, so the call is recorded as an avoided trade rather than a win or loss.
Signal Fundamental re-rating confirmedStatus No trade; new base required
See the no-chase level and full risk plan →
REPAIR CONFIRMED · OCT 17/10 active
BA Boeing
BA reclaimed its original starter area and the engineering union ratified Boeing’s revised contract, removing the October 7 strike threat. The Navy F/A-XX award and labor resolution now provide two independent catalysts without rewriting Wednesday’s failed confirmation.
Status Starter repaired; add trigger pendingTrack record Original entry preserved
Review the original entry, stop and repair plan →
PREFERRED RETEST REACHED · OCT 66.7/10 speculative
RIVN Rivian Automotive
RIVN tested roughly $14.43 on October 6 and ended near $14.50, reaching the published controlled-retest area without breaking the thesis. Record deliveries support a small speculative starter, while relative weakness, cash burn and October 29 earnings keep sizing measured.
Signal Record deliveries + planned retestStatus Small starter active; retest reached
Unlock the entry, stop and October 29 earnings plan →
STOPPED · THESIS IMPROVED, NO RE-ENTRY · OCT 7Closed loss
LEN Lennar
LEN’s original $80–82.50 starter remains a stopped loss after the published $76 invalidation failed. Berkshire has since disclosed another roughly $193 million of buying near the high-$70s, improving longer-term sponsorship, but the trade does not reopen without a new base and recovery through $80–82.50.
Outcome Published stop triggeredStatus Closed; no averaging down
See the original call and updated repair levels →
AUDIT UPDATE · SEP 29No trade
SMMT / FICO Conditions not met
SMMT failed its required opening hold and closed below invalidation. FICO reached the published downside zones without the controlled failed-rebound entry. Both calls remain in the archive as avoided trades—not retroactive wins or losses.
SMMT Invalidated; no entryFICO Thesis right; no trade
Review the original plans and full audit trail →